How Trump’s Hard Line on Trade Could Backfire

Bob Davis
Wall Street Journal
“If they don’t behave,” the Republican businessman warned at a debate, Chinese companies under a Trump presidency could face tariffs of 45%.

Continental Shift: How China is Changing Africa

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more
For their new book, Continental Shift: A Journey into Africa’s 21st Century, South African authors Kevin Bloom and Richard Poplak embarked on a 14-country odyssey across two continents over a span of five years to report on Africa’s changing...

Viewpoint

03.24.16

Why China’s Economy Can’t Collapse

from Radio Free Asia
China’s economic outlook once again became the focus of attention for many last week. For one thing, the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) listed the possibility of a hard landing for China’s economy as the topmost of the world’s top 10 risks. There...

Yi Fuxian, Critic of China’s Birth Policy, Returns as an Invited Guest

Didi Kirsten Tatlow
New York Times
"I can go to Boao because the Chinese government isn’t against me anymore!"

Viewpoint

03.24.16

German President Joachim Gauck’s Speech at Tongji University in Shanghai

from Der Bundespräsident
On Wednesday, March 23, German President Joachim Gauck addressed an audience of university students in Shanghai. Among many views not typically aired in public in China, Gauck, a former Luterhan minister and anti-communist organizer, told the crowd...

China’s Struggle for a New Normal

Martin Wolf
Financial Times
Beijing seems strangely indecisive on the economy and yet increasingly authoritarian in politics.

Russia Deals Deepen India Hold in China Oil-Buying Backyard

Debjit Chakraborty and Saket Sundria
Bloomberg
India is replacing China as the center of the world’s oil demand growth as its economy expands faster than any other major country.

A Growing Corner of China’s $2 Trillion Mortgage Market Looks a Lot Like the U.S. Subprime Bubble

Zheping Huang
Quartz
“If China allows high leverage in the housing market, it could lead to a financial disaster.”

Hong Kong Feels, and Fears, China's Tighter Grip

Associated Press
Political and economic ills from the mainland are eroding HK.

IMF Pressing China to Disclose More Data on Currency Operations

Lingling Wei
Wall Street Journal
In recent months, the People’s Bank of China has increasingly turned to the derivatives market to help prop up the currency.

China’s Fix for Massive Corporate Debt: Sell More Stock

Scott Cendrowski
Fortune
Zhou’s solution to the corporate debt problem is that the Chinese companies need to go out and issue stock.

China Banks Face Credit Risks from Ties to Wealth Management Products

Leslie Shaffer
CNBC
While WMPs offer high interest rates, it isn't always clear what assets the funds are buying to finance those payouts.

China Banks Face Credit Risks from Ties to Wealth Management Products

Leslie Shaffer
CNBC
Chinese banks are creating a web of risk through their WMPs, raising concerns about the health of the financial system.

China Approves New Five-Year Plan as Li Reassures on Economy

BBC
The National People's Congress ended with a new five-year plan, aiming for 6.5-7% growth a year by 2020.

China's Ever-Expanding U.S. Footprint

Jonanthan Berr
CBS News
A group of investors including China's Anbang Insurance Co. announced an unsolicited $14 billion offer for Starwood Hotels.

China-EU Relations: Crisis and Opportunity

Shi Zhiqin
Diplomat
The decision to grant China Market Economy Status is a major inflection point in bilateral ties. 

Africa’s Role in China’s One Belt, One Road Global Trade Strategy

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more
China’s lofty ambition to revive its ancient silk road trading routes is now becoming a reality. When complete, One Belt, One Road (OBOR), or the Maritime Silk Road as it is more commonly known, will connect China via rail and shipping links with...

How Much Foreign Debt Has China Repaid?

Chi Lo
Barron’s
China began to repay its foreign debt, which promotes systemic stability but puts a downward pressure on yuan.

Why Donald Trump Is Wrong About Manufacturing Jobs and China

Jeffrey Rothfeder
New Yorker
Factory jobs are on the rise here, and many of these new jobs are coming back to North America from China.

Reaganomics Finds Friends In High Places In China

Frank Holmes
Forbes
In response to worldwide demands that China manage its economy better, Xi Jinping has proposed what he calls “supply-side structural reform.”

The China Intervention Trade Is Back as State Funds Battle Bears

Bloomberg
The stock market is a battleground for bearish investors and state-directed funds determined to spark a rally.

China Exports, Imports Fall Sharply in February

CNBC
China's exports fell 25.4 percent on-year in February, while imports declined 13.8 percent, clocking far bigger slides than expected.

China Desperately Needs Low-Income Migrant Workers to Buy Homes and Save the Economy

Simina Mistreaunu
Quartz
You can't ignore the lower-end demand because there is none at the higher end.

As Economy Worsens, Chinese Migrants in Africa Confront New Challenges

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more
Thousands of Chinese migrants who settled in Africa over the past 10 years now face mounting uncertainty as economic growth slows across the continent and back home in China. While there are no reliable estimates as to how many Chinese migrants...

China's Growth Addiction Leaves Deleveraging in Back Seat

Bloomberg
Rule No.1 in China’s blueprint for the next five years: give top priority to development.

Ailing Economy Slows China’s Military Expansion

Jeremy Page
Wall Street Journal
Much of this year’s budget will go toward major restructuring of armed forces, official says.

Media

03.04.16

China’s Coming Ideological Wars

Taisu Zhang
For most Chinese, the 1990s were a period of intense material pragmatism. Economic development was the paramount social and political concern, while the various state ideologies that had guided policy during the initial decades of the People’s...

Xi Jinping’s Remedy for China’s Economic Gloom Has Echoes of Reaganomics

Chris Buckley
New York Times
President Xi Jinping has begun pushing a remedy that sounds less like Marx and Mao than Reagan and Thatcher.

Why You Should Care about China's National People's Congress

Karishma Vaswani
BBC
It is an opportunity to gauge what Chinese leaders may be thinking about the economy.

Death and Despair in China's Rustbelt

Bloomberg
The river plain once at the forefront of the Communist Party’s first attempt at a modern economy has become a valley of brutal murder, protests, and suicide.

Dodging Critics and Soothing Fears, China Meets Its G-20 Goals

Bloomberg
China pulled off a win at the Shanghai Group of 20 meeting of global finance leaders after months of angst abroad over economic and policy direction.

China Expects to Lay off 1.8 Million Workers in Coal, Steel Sectors

Kevin Yao and Meng Meng
Reuters
China expects to lay off about 15 percent of the workforce, as part of efforts to reduce industrial overcapacity.

Media

03.01.16

Why China Isn’t Hosting Syrian Refugees

The civil war in Syria, now spanning almost half a decade, and the Islamic State’s territorial advances there have led to the world’s worst refugee crisis in decades. More than 4.7 million Syrians have left their homeland, pouring into neighboring...

China Warns U.S. After Trump Wins Nevada Caucus

Bill Gertz
Washington Free Beacon
China warned the U.S. not to adopt punitive currency policies that could disrupt U.S.-China relations after Donald Trump’s win in the Nevada caucus.

As China’s Economic Picture Turns Uglier, Beijing Applies Airbrush

Edward Wong and Neil Gough
New York Times
This month, Chinese banking officials omitted currency data from closely watched economic reports.

China’s Richest Man Wang Jianlin Urges Beijing to Motivate Officials for Economic Growth

Mandy Zuo
South China Morning Post
Wang told an audience at Oxford University that inaction by some officials stemmed from “flaws in systematic design.”

Caixin Media

02.24.16

Regulators Leave Wealth Management Industry Unplugged

Financial market supervisors admit that gaping holes pockmark the regulatory fences they’ve built in recent years to control the wealth management industry and protect its investors.By occasionally introducing new rules and regulations, supervisors...

China/Africa Vs. China/South America

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more
China’s engagement in Africa is often seen by many observers in a vacuum without a broader understanding of how the relationship compares to Beijing’s strategy in other regions of the world. South America, in particular, provides an interesting...

Conversation

02.23.16

How Long Can China’s Internet Thrive if the Rest of the World Gets Shut Out?

David Schlesinger, Jeff South & more
Last week, Chinese authorities announced that as of March 10, foreign-invested companies would not be allowed to publish anything on the Chinese Internet unless they have obtained government permission to publish with a Chinese partner. What does...

China: No More Weird Buildings

Matt Rivers and Chung Fun
CNN
New guidelines will forbid the construction of "bizarre" and "odd-shaped" buildings that are devoid of character or cultural heritage.

China’s Excess Production Has Intensified Slowdown, Business Group Says

Javier Hernandez
New York Times
The failure of Chinese leaders to tackle the problem of excess industrial production has intensified an economic slowdown.

Caixin Media

02.19.16

Central Bank Governor on Reforming the Exchange Rate, Adopting a Digital Currency

Recently Zhou Xiaochuan, Governor of the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, had an interview with Caixin and talked about the yuan exchange rate regime reform, macro-prudential policy framework, digital currency, and other topics...

The China Delusion

Rob Johnson
Project Syndicate
The current exchange-rate anxiety is just a symptom of China’s transition from an export-led growth strategy to one propelled by domestic consumption proceeding less smoothly than hoped.

Lost in China’s Exploding Future

Ian Buruma from New York Review of Books
Chinese director Jia Zhangke’s new movie, Mountains May Depart, begins with a disco dance in a bleak mining town to the sounds of “Go West” by the Pet Shop Boys. It is the lunar New Year, 1999. Outside, the end of the millennium is celebrated in a...

'China Has Only One Real Ally'

Business Insider
Director of the Institute for International Relations at Tsinghua University believes China's only real ally is Pakistan.

Invisible Bridges

Peter Hessler, photo by Davide...
New Yorker
Over the past two centuries, there have been periodic tensions between Russia and China, including some serious border conflicts, and historically Russia has usually held the upper hand. But nowadays, at the personal level, Monteleone notices a...

China's 'Zombie Commodities' Haunt the Market

Fred Gale
Nikkei Asian Review
China has a record-breaking stockpile of farm commodities that has been languishing in warehouses for years, declining in value.

Growing Concern in U.S. Over China’s Drive to Make Chips

Paul Mozur and Jane Perlez
New York Times
U.S. officials blocked the proposed purchase for $2.9 billion of a controlling stake in a unit of the Dutch electronics company Philips by Chinese investors.

In ‘Communist’ China, Alibaba is Training People to Shop Online

Davey Alba
Wired
One strategy Alibaba has for trying to stem the economic slowdown is to make sure as many of China’s 1.3 billion people as possible can shop online.

A New Shenzhen? Poor Pakistan Fishing Town's Horror at Chinese Plans

Jon Boone and Kiyya Baloch
Guardian
The mega-port will bring five-star hotels and Chinese access to the Arabian Sea.

The Unreal, Eerie Emptiness of China’s Ghost Cities

Laura Mallonee
Wired
Kangbashi is one of hundreds of sparkling new cities sitting relatively empty throughout China, built by a government eager to urbanize the country.

Caixin Media

02.01.16

Tough Times call for Tougher Reform Push

Beijing has has done a good job in terms of industrializing the country but will face unprecedented challenges when dealing with a service-driven economy.

Media

01.29.16

‘The New Yorker’ on China

Jiayang Fan, Peter Hessler & more
Following is an edited transcript of a live event hosted at Asia Society New York on December 17, 2015, “ChinaFile Presents: The New Yorker On China.” (The full video appears above.) The evening, introduced by Asia Society President Josette Sheeran...

Sinica Podcast

01.29.16

The China Meltdown

Jeremy Goldkorn, Kaiser Kuo & more from Sinica Podcast
[—Editors note: this podcast was recorded on January 18, 2016]With equity markets in free fall, housing prices skipping downwards, foreign reserves plummeting, and industrial production on a road trip back to the last decade, it’s no surprise...

Conversation

01.27.16

Is George Soros Right that China’s Headed for a Hard Landing?

Arthur R. Kroeber, Stephen S. Roach & more
On Tuesday in an article headlined, “Declaring War on China’s Currency? Ha ha,” the People’s Daily attacked billionaire investor George Soros for suggesting he might short the renminbi. The Chinese currency has dropped 5.7 percent since August when...

China Deepens Its Footprint in Iran After Lifting Sanctions

Thomas Erdbrink
New York Times
Both countries agreed to increase trade to $600 billion in the coming decade.

Africa Feels the Chill of China’s Cooling Economy

Eric Olander, Cobus van Staden & more
It hasn’t even been a month since Chinese president Xi Jinping was in South Africa for the triennial Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) confab where he unveiled a massive $60 billion financial package. Oh how those were innocent, halcyon days...

Postcard

01.18.16

A People’s Friendship

James Palmer
It takes a brave man to jump off a moving train for the sake of a sale, but the clothes hawkers had the easy courage of men who did this on the regular. I watched as they leapt off the front carriage as the train chugged into a station with no stop...

Viewpoint

01.15.16

China’s New Development Bank Needs Better Human Rights Protections

Nicholas Bequelin
On January 16, the Board of Governors of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) will meet in Beijing to formally launch its operations.A symbol of China’s growing clout on the international scene, the AIIB attracted 57 founding members,...